Real Estate Market in France: Outlook for the End of 2025
A fragile recovery driven by rate stabilization and new investment dynamics

Hadrien Celarie
Co-fondateur

The end of 2025 marks a turning point for the French real estate market. After three years marked by rising interest rates, inflation, and shrinking purchasing power, the market is now entering a phase of stabilization. Several major trends are emerging.
1. A residential market in transition
Activity remains below pre-2022 levels, but the sharp decline in transactions has stopped. Buyers are gradually returning thanks to stable interest rates, while sellers are adjusting prices to market conditions.
Key points:
Prices are stabilizing in several major cities but continue to fall in others.
First-time buyers are slowly coming back as public support programs evolve.
Rental demand remains extremely high due to structural housing shortages.
2. Stabilized mortgage rates
After the steep rise of 2022–2024, mortgage rates are now entering a stable phase.
This improves visibility for households and restores borrowing capacity for many profiles.
3. Rental investment: optimization and repositioning
Investors are now targeting:
high-demand areas with strong rental markets,
properties requiring renovation (better yields despite energy rules),
assets offering strong long-term utility value.
New energy-performance regulations are reshaping supply, widening the gap between renovated properties and discounted energy-inefficient homes.
4. Outlook for 2026
Market indicators suggest a gradual recovery beginning mid-2026, provided that:
inflation continues to decline,
rates ease further,
regulatory stability is maintained.